Kaspa Supply Shock Brewing? KAS Long‑Term Holders Just Reached a Record High Despite Price Dips

Kaspa Daily, a community member on X, posted a chart today that could be useful for (long-term) KAS holders. The data shows the percentage of KAS supply that has not moved in over a year just hit a new all‑time high of 46.17%. That is nearly half of all circulating KAS.

The number keeps climbing regardless of what price does. The long‑term base is not shrinking, but actually growing under pressure.

Kaspa trades at $0.03 as of today, April 13, 2026. The price has been stuck in a range for months. But the holders who bought a year ago or more are not selling. They are locking up supply.

Kaspa Long‑Term Holder Supply – The Record High Explained

The chart shared by Kaspa Daily tracks two lines. The blue line is the percentage of supply not moved in over a year. The orange line is the KAS price in USD. Since late 2023, the blue line has steadily climbed from below 10% to 46.17% today. The orange line has moved up and down but overall trended sideways.

Source: X/@DailyKaspa

The key insight is the divergence. Price dipped multiple times – from $0.15 in late 2024 to $0.03 today. Yet long‑term holders kept accumulating and holding. They did not panic sell. The ATH in long‑term holder supply happened while price sits near multi‑month lows.

This is a classic supply shock setup. When nearly half of circulating supply is locked up by holders who refuse to sell, any increase in demand can trigger a sharp move up. The question is timing. The holders are patient. The market is not.

Read what Kaspa founder said a few days ago at Oxford Union.

Kaspa Short‑Term Price Outlook – MACD Still Bearish

The 2‑week CryptoCompare index for KAS shows the token trading at $0.0315, down 4.88% over the period. The MACD oscillator (12,26,9) is bearish. The MACD line sits below the signal line. The histogram is negative, showing red bars. That tells you short‑to‑medium term momentum is still to the downside.

Recent price action shows KAS bouncing between $0.030 and $0.034. Resistance sits at $0.034, then $0.036. Support is at $0.030, then $0.028. The MACD needs to cross above the signal line for a bullish turn. Until then, the path of least resistance is sideways to down.

Bullish prediction for the short term: If KAS holds $0.030 and MACD flattens, a bounce to $0.034 is possible. A break above $0.036 would target $0.040.

Bearish prediction: If $0.030 breaks, KAS could drop to $0.028 or $0.025. The long‑term holder data provides a floor, not an immediate catalyst.

Kaspa Price: Key Levels to Watch

All in all, Long‑term Kaspa holders just hit a record high at 46.17% of circulating supply. The MACD is still bearish, and price sits at $0.03. The supply shock is brewing, but the market needs a spark to ignite it. Patience remains the game here.