Here's Where Hedera Price Is Headed After 21Shares and HBAR Unlock News

Hedera price is moving alongside the market today. The biggest cryptos are barely moving, and HBAR is no exception. But the thing with HBAR is that it has been trading in a very tight range for weeks, stuck between $0.088 and $0.093. The broader market is indecisive, and HBAR is stuck with it.

However, two important news stories could finally shake things up. First, 21Shares has listed its Hedera ETP on Xetra, giving European investors an easier way to gain exposure to Hedera through a stock exchange. Second, a token unlock of roughly 4 billion HBAR is adding supply pressure, which the market is still digesting. Here is where the Hedera price is headed next or how these factors can affect it.

Hedera News to Affect HBAR Price

21Shares Lists Hedera ETP on Xetra - 21Shares, one of the world's largest issuers of cryptocurrency exchange-traded products, has cross‑listed nine new products on Xetra, including the Hedera ETP (ticker: HDRA). The expansion reinforces 21Shares' commitment to the German market, where it already holds a leading position on Xetra with a 26% market share.

The 21Shares Hedera ETP is now available on Europe's largest ETF exchange, with 21Shares stating: "Governed by the world's leading organizations like Google, IBM, Dell and more, Hedera provides the trust layer of the digital economy." This makes it easier for European institutional and retail investors to gain exposure to HBAR without directly holding the token.

Source: X/@RealAllinCrypto

HBAR Unlock – 4 Billion Tokens Entering Circulation - s we covered in our April 20 crypto news article, the Hedera Council is releasing approximately 4 billion HBAR tokens this quarter. That is about 8% of the total supply. The unlock adds selling pressure at a time when the token is already trading near multi‑month lows.

Over 95% of HBAR tokens are now reportedly unlocked, raising concerns among some community members about the project's financial strategy and ability to sustain operations without relying on token inflation.

Hedera Price Outlook – Why HBAR Isn't Moving

The 2‑week CryptoCompare index for HBAR shows a token stuck in a consolidation phase. Price has been trapped between $0.088 and $0.093 for weeks. The MACD (12,26,9) shows the MACD line and signal line nearly flat, with the histogram hovering around zero. That indicates a complete lack of directional momentum – neither bulls nor bears are in control.

Source: CryptoCompare.com

The ADX (14) is at 21.803. An ADX below 25 typically signals a weak or ranging market, which matches the price action perfectly. The Ultimate Oscillator is at 47.373, close to the neutral 50 level. The ROC (Rate of Change) is a mere 1.132, confirming that price has barely moved in either direction.

Support is at $0.088, then $0.085. Resistance is at $0.093, then $0.10. The tight range suggests a breakout is coming, but the direction is unclear. The 21Shares ETP listing is a long‑term positive, while the token unlock is a short‑term negative. These opposing forces explain why HBAR is stuck.

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Hedera Price Prediction

🟢 Bullish Scenario: If the 21Shares ETP attracts new European buyers and the token unlock selling is absorbed, HBAR could break $0.093 and test $0.10 within days. A close above $0.10 would target $0.12.

🔴 Bearish Scenario: If the 4 billion token unlock leads to sustained selling and the broader market weakens, HBAR could drop to $0.085 support. A break below $0.085 would target $0.08 or lower.

⚖️ Most Likely Scenario: HBAR will remain in the $0.088‑$0.093 range for most of the week. The ETP news provides a floor, but the unlock provides a ceiling. A breakout requires either a surge in ETP inflows or exhaustion of unlock selling.

Overall, Hedera's price action is boring. The 21Shares ETP listing brings institutional access, but the 4 billion token unlock brings supply pressure. The chart shows a tight range with no momentum. Until one force wins, HBAR stays stuck. Watch $0.093 and $0.088 – the first level to break sets the trend.