Here's Where XRP Price Is Headed: One Analyst Warns of $1.28 Support Break, Another Says Explosive Rise Begins

The XRP price is still boring today. The token has traded between $1.30 and $1.40 for weeks. The community is frustrated. The chart looks flat. But two analysts weighed in today with very different takes.

One sees more downside. The other calls a breakout. Here is where XRP price is headed according to both.

CasiTrades' XRP Warning – More Chop, Then Downside

CasiTrades posted an update on X. She marked day 68 of XRP ranging below resistance. Her macro plan has not changed. She is waiting for one of two things: a move down into macro supports at $1.09 (0.786 Fibonacci) or $0.87 (0.854), or a break and hold above $1.65 (0.618) to flip the market bullish.

Her 4‑hour chart shows XRP trading at $1.3759. The local range is tight: support at $1.28, resistance at $1.39. She notes that once $1.28 breaks, she expects continuation toward the lower macro supports. Until then, it is just continued chop – the market wearing everyone out before the real move.

Source: X/@CasiTrades

CasiTrades draws key Fibonacci levels from a larger swing. The 0.786 retracement sits at $1.09, and the 0.854 at $0.87. These are her ultimate buy zones. She does not call a crash, just a healthy retrace within the existing ascending triangle structure. The problem is timing. XRP has been range‑bound for 68 days, and a break below $1.28 could trigger the drop quickly.

Her advice is simple: wait for the break. Do not guess. If $1.28 fails, $1.09 is the next real support. If $1.39 breaks and holds, then watch $1.65. Until then, stay patient.

Read also: XRP Price to $28? Crypto Analyst Fires Back at Bears

CW's Bullish XRP Price Prediction – Golden Cross on RSI, Explosive Rise to New ATH

CW analyst shared a very different perspective. His 3‑day chart shows XRP at $1.4008, up 2.89% on the day. He writes that the rally for XRP has begun, and an explosive rise will soon appear.

His key indicator: a golden cross on the RSI. That is a rare bullish signal where the shorter‑term RSI moves above the longer‑term RSI, typically preceding strong upward moves. CW says this has happened on XRP's chart.

Source: X/@CW8900

He argues that the bottom line of the channel is the historical starting point of the rally. Based on previous patterns, the target is the Fibonacci 6.618 extension, which would take XRP far above its current all‑time high of $3.30. He notes that the exact peak may vary depending on market conditions, but the direction is clear.

CW's chart shows a long descending channel that the XRP price broke out of in late 2025. The current pullback has retested the breakout zone, and the RSI golden cross confirms momentum shifting back up. His target is not a specific number, but "the peak of Phase 4" – implying a multi‑dollar move.

Which analyst is right? CasiTrades focuses on short‑term structure and Fibonacci retracements. CW looks at longer‑term momentum and channel breaks. Both could be correct at different timeframes. XRP might drop to $1.09 first, then rally to new highs. Or it could break $1.65 tomorrow and never look back.

All in all, Two analysts, two very different paths. CasiTrades says watch $1.28 and $1.39. CW says the golden cross already fired. For now, XRP remains boring. The next weekly close will tell who is right.